DEMO DATA · NOT FOR CITATION

shortage.life · session_log · 2026-05-17 14:32 UTCPID 47023 · ttyS0 · uptime 312d

// node

shortage.life

v0.3 · brussels · build f3a2c81

● online · 47/47 sources · 312ms

// $_ exec

$ shortage scenario get hormuz-2026
> status: 0.34 ELEVATED
> severity 4.2 / 5
> reviewed 2026-04-28

// readout · live

BRENT     $84.27 ▲
TTF       €31.50 ▼
OPEC_SP   3.8 mb/d ●
SPR_US    372.4 Mb
FAO_FFPI  121.4 ▲

auto-refresh 60slatency 312msbuild 0.3.0commit f3a2c81UTC 00:00:00

$_TICKER

BRENT$84.27▲0.50%WTI$80.15▲0.39%TTF€31.50▼3.67%NBP72.4p▼1.50%HH$2.84▲1.43%SPR_US372.4 Mb18.7dEU_GAS78.3%▲0.4ppOPEC_SPARE3.8 mb/d▼0.3FAO_FFPI121.4▲0.8WHT.SRW$6.42/bu▲1.84%RIC.THAI$612/t▲0.32%UREA$378/t▲2.71%LITH$13,820/t▼0.84%COBL$31,400/t—CU$9,820/t▲0.65%NI$17,420/t▼1.10%BRENT$84.27▲0.50%WTI$80.15▲0.39%TTF€31.50▼3.67%NBP72.4p▼1.50%HH$2.84▲1.43%SPR_US372.4 Mb18.7dEU_GAS78.3%▲0.4ppOPEC_SPARE3.8 mb/d▼0.3FAO_FFPI121.4▲0.8WHT.SRW$6.42/bu▲1.84%RIC.THAI$612/t▲0.32%UREA$378/t▲2.71%LITH$13,820/t▼0.84%COBL$31,400/t—CU$9,820/t▲0.65%NI$17,420/t▼1.10%

~/scenarios/hormuz-2026·methodology: v3.2cite · /api/v1/scenarios/hormuz-2026

// HORMUZ-2026 · ELEVATED

Persian Gulf 5-day tanker disruption.

8 countries affected · oil + wheat + insurance + lithium

ELEVATEDSTATUSELEVATED

ELEVATEDPROBABILITY · INTERNAL0.34

ELEVATEDSEVERITY4.2/ 5

ELEVATEDLAST REVIEW2026-04-28

probability 0.34

READ MODE// long-form zoneEDITORIAL · scenario analysisscenario HORMUZ-2026·last revision 2026-04-28

Scenario brief · v3.2 · 2026-04-28