Sustained power prices force European industrial demand destruction.
prob 0.52
severity 3.4 / 5 · revision 2026-05-08watch · 14 industrial economies · chemicals + metals + fertilizer$ shortage country get HUN > stress_index: 0.49 WATCH > 6 events · 2 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Hungary has retained one of the EU's heaviest reliances on Russian crude, carried by the Druzhba pipeline, and on Russian gas via TurkStream. The Paks nuclear plant supplies much of its power. It is a significant grain exporter, but single-pipeline energy exposure is its defining vulnerability.
Hungary's Great Plain faces intensifying drought, with Lake Balaton and groundwater under pressure.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · MSZKSZ compulsory reserveThe Hungarian Hydrocarbon Stockpiling Association (MSZKSZ) holds the EU-mandated 90 days of net oil-import cover. | ~90 days | 90days | STABLE |
| Natural gas · underground storageLarge storage buffers demand, but gas supply remains heavily reliant on Russian volumes via TurkStream. | ~6.3 Bcm | 70days | WATCH |
| Grain · exportable surplusHungary runs a structural cereal surplus exported across the region. | ample | 120days | STABLE |
| EU Strategic Petroleum Reserves | 9 Mb | 80days | 75.0 % |
| EU Diesel / Gas Oil Reserves | 5 Mb | 50days | — |
| EU Gasoline Reserves | 1 Mb | 75days | — |
| EU Kerosene / Jet Fuel Reserves | n/a | 28days | — |
| EU Natural Gas Storage | 1.82 BCM | — | 28.0 % |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/HUN | jq '.stress' > 0.49