DEMO DATA · NOT FOR CITATION
shortage.life · session_log · 2026-05-17 14:32 UTCPID 47023 · ttyS0 · uptime 312d

// node

shortage.life
v0.3 · brussels · build f3a2c81
● online · 47/47 sources · 312ms

// $_ exec

$ shortage country get BGR
> stress_index: 0.47 WATCH
> 6 events · 2 scenarios
> refreshed 2026-05-17

// readout · live

BRENT     $84.27 ▲
TTF       €31.50 ▼
OPEC_SP   3.8 mb/d ●
SPR_US    372.4 Mb
FAO_FFPI  121.4 ▲
auto-refresh 60slatency 312msbuild 0.3.0commit f3a2c81UTC 00:00:00
$_TICKER
BRENT$84.27▲0.50%WTI$80.15▲0.39%TTF€31.50▼3.67%NBP72.4p▼1.50%HH$2.84▲1.43%SPR_US372.4 Mb18.7dEU_GAS78.3%▲0.4ppOPEC_SPARE3.8 mb/d▼0.3FAO_FFPI121.4▲0.8WHT.SRW$6.42/bu▲1.84%RIC.THAI$612/t▲0.32%UREA$378/t▲2.71%LITH$13,820/t▼0.84%COBL$31,400/t—CU$9,820/t▲0.65%NI$17,420/t▼1.10%BRENT$84.27▲0.50%WTI$80.15▲0.39%TTF€31.50▼3.67%NBP72.4p▼1.50%HH$2.84▲1.43%SPR_US372.4 Mb18.7dEU_GAS78.3%▲0.4ppOPEC_SPARE3.8 mb/d▼0.3FAO_FFPI121.4▲0.8WHT.SRW$6.42/bu▲1.84%RIC.THAI$612/t▲0.32%UREA$378/t▲2.71%LITH$13,820/t▼0.84%COBL$31,400/t—CU$9,820/t▲0.65%NI$17,420/t▼1.10%
~/countries/BGR·region: Europe·tier: monitored·methodology: v3.2cite · /api/v1/countries/BGR

Bulgaria / BGR

ISO BGRBG│capital: Sofia│region: Europe│population: 6M
WATCH
STRESS INDEX · v3.20.47

[ 01 ]$_STRESS INDEX · v3.2 composite

COMPOSITE · 0–1 SCALE0.47

The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.

stress index · 18-month history0–1 composite

[ 02 ]$_MACRO · economy and territory

NOMINAL GDP$102 bn
GDP PER CAPITA$15,800
AREA110,879 km²
POPULATION6M
INFLATION · 20264%
INFLATION FORECAST · 20273.2%
CURRENCY DEPR. · 1Y3%
PUBLIC DEBT / GDP24%
UNEMPLOYMENT4.2%
ELECTRICITY ACCESS100%
electricity generation mix · %
  • Fossil40 40.0%
  • Nuclear35 35.0%
  • Renewables25 25.0%
inflation · 2022–2027%

[ 03 ]$_ENERGY PROFILE · production and consumption

OIL PRODUCTION0.001 mb/d
OIL CONSUMPTION0.1 mb/d
GAS PRODUCTION0.02 bcm
GAS CONSUMPTION3 bcm
POSTUREnet importer
IMPORT DEPENDENCY40%

[ 04 ]$_FOOD POSTURE · cereals

CEREAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY145%
POSTUREnet exporter
key commodities:
oilgaswheat

[ 05 ]$_RESILIENCE · oil cover

OIL STOCK COVER90days

[ 06 ]$_COUNTRY BRIEF · shortage posture

Bulgaria hosts one of the Balkans' largest refineries at Burgas and the Kozloduy nuclear plant, and has cut Russian gas dependence through the interconnector with Greece. It is a Black Sea grain exporter. Refining ownership and Black Sea security are its principal exposures.

[ 07 ]$_VULNERABILITIES · pressure points

[ 08 ]$_WATER · drought & lake levels

WATER STRESSmoderate
DROUGHTmoderate

Bulgaria faces periodic drought and ageing water infrastructure that causes local shortages.

MAJOR LAKES & RESERVOIRS
  • Lake Burgasnormal
  • Iskar reservoirbelow normal

[ 09 ]$_EVENTS · tagged register

6 events recorded
2026-03-03ECONEuropean fertilizer plants curtail output on gas costsFertilizers Europe2026-01-12ECONCold snap strains the European grid amid the Iran warENTSO-E2023-11-01ECONEU gas storage exceeds 90% ahead of winterAGSI+2022-09-02ECONRussia halts Nord Stream 1 gas deliveriesENTSOG2022-08-26ECONEuropean wholesale power prices hit record highsENTSO-E2022-08-09ECONEU adopts a coordinated 15% gas demand-reduction planEuropean Council

[ 10 ]$_SCENARIOS · with exposure

// EU-INDUSTRY-2026

Sustained power prices force European industrial demand destruction.

prob 0.52
severity 3.4 / 5 · revision 2026-05-08watch · 14 industrial economies · chemicals + metals + fertilizer
open scenario →
// EU-GAS-2026

European winter gas-supply squeeze.

prob 0.46
severity 4.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 45 European markets · gas + power + storage refill
open scenario →

[ 11 ]$_STRATEGIC RESERVES · by stock type

STOCK TYPERESERVEDAYS COVERSTATUS
Oil · state war-time reserveThe State Reserve and War-Time Stocks Agency and industry hold the EU-mandated 90 days of net oil-import cover.~90 days90daysSTABLE
Natural gas · Chiren storage and IGB linkThe Chiren storage site and the interconnector with Greece have reduced reliance on Russian gas.~0.5 Bcm storage45daysWATCH
Grain · exportable surplusBulgaria runs a cereal surplus exported through Black Sea ports.ample120daysSTABLE

[ 12 ]$_CORPORATE FAILURES · Q1 2026

Q1 2026 FILINGS1,520
YEAR-ON-YEAR▲ +21%
RANK · WORLD#51
ManufacturingAgricultureEnergy
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/BGR | jq '.stress'
> 0.47
endpoint: /api/v1/countries/BGR·MCP: get-country-profile(iso=BGR)·license: CC-BY-4.0