shortage.life · last_sync · 2026-08-18 13:50:24 UTCbuild 83e413e · node v22.22.2

// node

shortage.life
brussels
● online · 8 sources

// $_ exec

$ shortage country get HRV
> stress_index: 0.41 STABLE
> 5 events · 2 scenarios
> refreshed 2026-05-17

// readout · live

BRENT     $90.79/b 
TTF       €62.72/MWh 
OPEC_ORB  $108.8/b 
SPR_US    304.8 Mb 
FAO_FFPI  130.3 
revalidate 15mUTC 00:00:00
$_TICKER
BRENT$90.79▼0.38%TTF€62.72▲0.22%HH$2.72▲0.37%SPR_US304.8 Mb15.6dEU_GAS61.5%18c avgOPEC_ORB$108.79● flatFAO_FFPI130.3▼0.4%WHT$6.86/bu▼0.65%BRENT$90.79▼0.38%TTF€62.72▲0.22%HH$2.72▲0.37%SPR_US304.8 Mb15.6dEU_GAS61.5%18c avgOPEC_ORB$108.79● flatFAO_FFPI130.3▼0.4%WHT$6.86/bu▼0.65%
~/countries/HRV·region: Europe·tier: monitored·methodology: v3.2cite · /api/v1/countries/HRV

Croatia / HRV

ISO HRVHRcapital: Zagrebregion: Europepopulation: 4M
STABLE
STRESS INDEX · v3.20.41

[ 00 ]  $_COMMODITIES · HRV · live readings

HRV · top by value

JODI · USDA WASDE · AGSI+ · latest 2026-08-16
  1. oilprod0.01mb/d▲ 11.1%
  2. oilstock6.11Mbbl▼ 0.8%
  3. oilexp0mb/d
  4. oilimp0.02mb/d▼ 80.6%
  5. gasstock64.28%▲ 1.2%
  6. dieselprod0.01mb/d▼ 66.7%
  7. dieselstock2.12Mbbl▼ 13.8%
  8. gasolineprod0.01mb/d▼ 50.0%

HRV · biggest movers (m/m)

|Δ| desc — anomaly-led view · latest 2026-08-16
  1. oilimp0.02mb/d▼ 80.6%
  2. dieselprod0.01mb/d▼ 66.7%
  3. gasolineprod0.01mb/d▼ 50.0%
  4. dieselstock2.12Mbbl▼ 13.8%
  5. gasolinestock1.01Mbbl▼ 13.7%
  6. oilprod0.01mb/d▲ 11.1%
  7. gasstock64.28%▲ 1.2%
  8. oilstock6.11Mbbl▼ 0.8%

[ 01 ]$_STRESS INDEX · v3.2 composite

COMPOSITE · 0–1 SCALE0.41

The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.

stress index · 18-month history0–1 composite

[ 02 ]$_MACRO · economy and territory

NOMINAL GDP$88 bn
GDP PER CAPITA$22,970
AREA56,594 km²
POPULATION4M
INFLATION · 20263.6%
INFLATION FORECAST · 20272.9%
CURRENCY DEPR. · 1Y2%
PUBLIC DEBT / GDP62%
UNEMPLOYMENT6.1%
ELECTRICITY ACCESS100%
electricity generation mix · %
  • Fossil30 30.0%
  • Nuclear0 0.0%
  • Renewables70 70.0%
inflation · 2022–2027%

[ 03 ]$_ENERGY PROFILE · production and consumption

OIL PRODUCTION0.01 mb/d
OIL CONSUMPTION0.07 mb/d
GAS PRODUCTION0.7 bcm
GAS CONSUMPTION2.5 bcm
POSTUREnet importer
IMPORT DEPENDENCY55%

[ 04 ]$_FOOD POSTURE · cereals

CEREAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY105%
POSTUREnet exporter
key commodities:
oilgaswheat

[ 05 ]$_RESILIENCE · oil cover

OIL STOCK COVER90days

[ 06 ]$_COUNTRY BRIEF · shortage posture

Croatia hosts the Krk LNG terminal, a gateway that supplies gas to central Europe as well as its own market, and retains modest domestic oil and gas output. Tourism drives sharp seasonal demand peaks. Its cereal output slightly exceeds demand.

[ 07 ]$_VULNERABILITIES · pressure points

[ 08 ]$_WATER · drought & lake levels

WATER STRESSlow
DROUGHTmoderate

Croatia is relatively water-rich, though the Adriatic coast and islands face summer scarcity.

MAJOR LAKES & RESERVOIRS
  • Lake Vrananormal
  • Plitvice Lakesnormal

[ 09 ]$_EVENTS · tagged register

5 events recorded

[ 10 ]$_SCENARIOS · with exposure

// EU-GAS-2026

European winter gas-supply squeeze.

prob 0.46
severity 4.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 45 European markets · gas + power + storage refill
open scenario →
// EU-FOREST-2060

Mediterranean forest conversion crosses the regeneration threshold

prob 0.45
severity 3.0 / 5 · revision 2026-08-02hypothetical · 6 countries · 29 Mha mediterranean canopy · timber, carbon, slope stability
open scenario →

[ 11 ]$_STRATEGIC RESERVES · by stock type

STOCK TYPERESERVEDAYS COVERSTATUS
Oil · HANDA compulsory reserveThe Croatian compulsory oil-stocks agency (HANDA) holds the EU-mandated 90 days of net oil-import cover.~90 days90daysSTABLE
Natural gas · Krk LNG and Okoli storageThe Krk LNG terminal and the Okoli underground storage supply Croatia and central Europe.regional gateway50daysSTABLE
Grain · commercial stocksDomestic cereal output slightly exceeds demand.moderate70daysSTABLE

[ 12 ]$_CORPORATE FAILURES · Q1 2026

Q1 2026 FILINGS920
YEAR-ON-YEAR▲ +16.4%
RANK · WORLD#60
TourismShippingConstruction
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/HRV | jq '.stress'
> 0.41
endpoint: /api/v1/countries/HRV·MCP: get-country-profile(iso=HRV)·license: CC-BY-4.0