European winter gas-supply squeeze.
prob 0.46
severity 4.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 45 European markets · gas + power + storage refill$ shortage country get SWE > stress_index: 0.30 STABLE > 5 events · 2 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Sweden draws its electricity almost entirely from hydro, nuclear and wind, using very little natural gas, which leaves it structurally insulated on power. It still imports all of its oil for transport. Domestic cereal output exceeds consumption, and the principal vulnerabilities run through transport fuels and grid balancing.
Sweden is water-rich with thousands of lakes, though occasional dry summers lower hydropower reservoirs.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · compulsory reserveIndustry holds the EU-mandated 90 days of net oil-import cover. | ~90 days | 90days | STABLE |
| Electricity · hydro and nuclear capacityHydro reservoirs and a nuclear fleet make Sweden a net power exporter; gas plays a marginal role. | structural surplus | — | STABLE |
| Grain · exportable surplusDomestic cereal output exceeds demand, leaving an exportable surplus. | ample | 100days | STABLE |
| EU Strategic Petroleum Reserves | 13 Mb | 90days | 76.5 % |
| EU Diesel / Gas Oil Reserves | 7 Mb | 58days | — |
| EU Gasoline Reserves | 2 Mb | 90days | — |
| EU Kerosene / Jet Fuel Reserves | n/a | 50days | — |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/SWE | jq '.stress' > 0.30