shortage.life · last_sync · 2026-07-02 16:49:38 UTCbuild 27d88d1 · node v22.22.2

// node

shortage.life
v0.3 · brussels · build f3a2c81
● online · 47/47 sources · 312ms

// $_ exec

$ shortage country get RUS
> stress_index: 0.55 WATCH
> 9 events · 1 scenarios
> refreshed 2026-05-17

// readout · live

BRENT     $71.19/b ▲
TTF       €44.4/MWh ▲
OPEC_ORB  n/a
SPR_US    331.2 Mb ▼
FAO_FFPI  130.8 ▼
auto-refresh 60slatency 312msbuild 0.3.0commit f3a2c81UTC 00:00:00
$_TICKER
BRENT$71.19▲0.92%TTF€44.40▲0.11%HH$3.19● 0.0%SPR_US331.2 Mb17.0dEU_GAS47.7%18c avgFAO_FFPI130.8▼0.2%WHT$5.99/bu▼0.75%BRENT$71.19▲0.92%TTF€44.40▲0.11%HH$3.19● 0.0%SPR_US331.2 Mb17.0dEU_GAS47.7%18c avgFAO_FFPI130.8▼0.2%WHT$5.99/bu▼0.75%
~/countries/RUS·region: Eurasia·tier: monitored·methodology: v3.2cite · /api/v1/countries/RUS

Russia / RUS

ISO RUSRU│capital: Moscow│region: Eurasia│population: 144M
WATCH
STRESS INDEX · v3.20.55

[ 00 ]  $_COMMODITIES · RUS · live readings

RUS · top by value

JODI · USDA WASDE · AGSI+ · latest 2026-05-13
  1. wheatprod81.6Million Metric Tons● 0.0%
  2. wheatexp43Million Metric Tons● 0.0%
  3. wheatimp0.3Million Metric Tons● 0.0%
  4. cornprod14Million Metric Tons● 0.0%
  5. cornexp3Million Metric Tons● 0.0%

RUS · biggest movers (m/m)

|Δ| desc — anomaly-led view · latest 2026-05-13
  1. wheatprod81.6Million Metric Tons● 0.0%
  2. wheatexp43Million Metric Tons● 0.0%
  3. wheatimp0.3Million Metric Tons● 0.0%
  4. cornprod14Million Metric Tons● 0.0%
  5. cornexp3Million Metric Tons● 0.0%

[ 01 ]$_STRESS INDEX · v3.2 composite

COMPOSITE · 0–1 SCALE0.55

The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.

stress index · 18-month history0–1 composite

[ 02 ]$_MACRO · economy and territory

NOMINAL GDP$2.2 T
GDP PER CAPITA$15,270
AREA17,098,242 km²
POPULATION144M
INFLATION · 20268%
INFLATION FORECAST · 20276.5%
CURRENCY DEPR. · 1Y14%
PUBLIC DEBT / GDP20%
UNEMPLOYMENT3%
ELECTRICITY ACCESS100%
electricity generation mix · %
  • Fossil62 62.0%
  • Nuclear20 20.0%
  • Renewables18 18.0%
inflation · 2022–2027%

[ 03 ]$_ENERGY PROFILE · production and consumption

OIL PRODUCTION10.8 mb/d
OIL CONSUMPTION3.7 mb/d
GAS PRODUCTION585 bcm
GAS CONSUMPTION480 bcm
POSTUREnet exporter
IMPORT DEPENDENCYnet surplus 65%

[ 04 ]$_FOOD POSTURE · cereals

CEREAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY145%
POSTUREnet exporter
key commodities:
oilgaswheaturea

[ 05 ]$_RESILIENCE · oil cover

OIL STOCK COVER55days

[ 06 ]$_COUNTRY BRIEF · shortage posture

Russia is among the top three crude producers and the second-largest natural-gas producer, and is the world's largest wheat exporter. Energy and grain sales remain its fiscal backbone. Sanctions have not cut output but have rerouted exports toward Asia at widening discounts and constrained access to technology, insurance and Western shipping.

[ 07 ]$_VULNERABILITIES · pressure points

[ 08 ]$_WATER · drought & lake levels

WATER STRESSlow
DROUGHTwatch

Vast freshwater resources leave Russia water-rich overall, though its southern grain regions face periodic drought.

MAJOR LAKES & RESERVOIRS
  • Lake Baikalnormal
  • Lake Ladoganormal
  • Caspian Sea (shared)low

[ 09 ]$_EVENTS · tagged register

9 events recorded
2026-06-19GEOM6.6 earthquake — 133 km ESE of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Russia2026-05-22GEOExporter signals review of grain export quota settings2026-05-13GEOBlack Sea grain corridor inspection backlogJCC2025-05-31ECONOPEC+ approves further 411 kb/d production rise for JuneOPEC Secretariat2025-05-03ECONOPEC+ accelerates output unwind with 411 kb/d May increaseOPEC Secretariat2025-02-24SANCUS designates dozens of shadow-fleet tankers carrying Russian crudeUS Treasury OFAC2025-02-15ECONRussia sets reduced grain export quota for first half of 2025Russian Agriculture Ministry2025-01-30ECONIndian refiners adjust sourcing as Russia sanctions tightenReuters2025-01-21MILUkrainian drone strikes disrupt Russian refining capacityReuters

[ 10 ]$_SCENARIOS · with exposure

// BLACKSEA-HALT-2026

Black Sea grain corridor full halt.

prob 0.31
severity 4.0 / 5 · revision 2026-05-13elevated · MENA + N Africa importers · wheat + corn + freight
open scenario →

[ 11 ]$_STRATEGIC RESERVES · by stock type

STOCK TYPERESERVEDAYS COVERSTATUS
Crude · commercial inventoriesAs a major producer Russia holds ample crude and product stocks; the binding constraint is export logistics and sanctions, not volume.large55daysSTABLE
Refined products · domesticDomestic product cover periodically tightened by Ukrainian drone strikes on refineries and by export-management measures.adequate40daysWATCH
Natural gas · underground storageExtensive storage network supports a large domestic heating load through the winter season.~72 Bcm55daysSTABLE
Grain · intervention fundState intervention grain fund used to stabilise domestic prices in the world's largest wheat-exporting economy.~10 Mt120daysSTABLE

[ 12 ]$_CORPORATE FAILURES · Q1 2026

Q1 2026 FILINGS7,600
YEAR-ON-YEAR▲ +15%
RANK · WORLD#8
EnergyManufacturingRetail

[ 14 ]$_GEOPOLITICAL · energy-infrastructure incidents

8 incidents in zone
2026-06-30Russian stuff blowing up : Bomb attack in Monaco targets ex - Urkrainian oligarchRussia · GDELT
2026-06-29Chinese and Russian air forces carry out joint patrolRussia · GDELT
2026-06-29Ukrainian drones set another Russian oil refinery ablaze as Putin admits fuel shortagesRussia · GDELT
2026-06-29Russia Fuel Troubles Expose Central Asia Energy DependenceRussia · GDELT
2026-06-26Russia preparing possible provocation in Baltic states or Poland , sources sayRussia · GDELT
2026-06-26Russian Authorities In Crimea Declare State Of Emergency Due To Continued Ukrainian AttacksRussia · GDELT
2026-06-25Ukrainian drone strikes ignite another oil depot in RussiaRussia · GDELT
2026-06-25Ukrainian Drones Hit Russian Oil Depot in Krasnodar Region for Second Time in 10 DaysRussia · GDELT
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/RUS | jq '.stress'
> 0.55
endpoint: /api/v1/countries/RUS·MCP: get-country-profile(iso=RUS)·license: CC-BY-4.0