European winter gas-supply squeeze.
prob 0.46
severity 4.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 45 European markets · gas + power + storage refill$ shortage country get MKD > stress_index: 0.45 WATCH > 4 events · 2 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
North Macedonia imports all of its oil and gas and runs a power system split between domestic lignite and imports. A small, landlocked Balkan economy, it depends on regional transit for energy and is a net importer of cereals.
North Macedonia depends on its lakes and the Vardar, with recurrent drought lowering reservoirs.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · compulsory reserveCompulsory fuel stocks are held against disruption of import routes through neighbours. | moderate | 45days | WATCH |
| Electricity · lignite and importsDomestic lignite covers part of demand; the balance is imported, exposing the grid to regional prices. | tight | — | WATCH |
| Grain · commercial stocksCereal output covers about two-thirds of demand. | limited | 40days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/MKD | jq '.stress' > 0.45