DEMO DATA · NOT FOR CITATION
shortage.life · session_log · 2026-05-17 14:32 UTCPID 47023 · ttyS0 · uptime 312d

// node

shortage.life
v0.3 · brussels · build f3a2c81
● online · 47/47 sources · 312ms

// $_ exec

$ shortage country get LVA
> stress_index: 0.44 STABLE
> 5 events · 1 scenarios
> refreshed 2026-05-17

// readout · live

BRENT     $84.27 ▲
TTF       €31.50 ▼
OPEC_SP   3.8 mb/d ●
SPR_US    372.4 Mb
FAO_FFPI  121.4 ▲
auto-refresh 60slatency 312msbuild 0.3.0commit f3a2c81UTC 00:00:00
$_TICKER
BRENT$84.27▲0.50%WTI$80.15▲0.39%TTF€31.50▼3.67%NBP72.4p▼1.50%HH$2.84▲1.43%SPR_US372.4 Mb18.7dEU_GAS78.3%▲0.4ppOPEC_SPARE3.8 mb/d▼0.3FAO_FFPI121.4▲0.8WHT.SRW$6.42/bu▲1.84%RIC.THAI$612/t▲0.32%UREA$378/t▲2.71%LITH$13,820/t▼0.84%COBL$31,400/t—CU$9,820/t▲0.65%NI$17,420/t▼1.10%BRENT$84.27▲0.50%WTI$80.15▲0.39%TTF€31.50▼3.67%NBP72.4p▼1.50%HH$2.84▲1.43%SPR_US372.4 Mb18.7dEU_GAS78.3%▲0.4ppOPEC_SPARE3.8 mb/d▼0.3FAO_FFPI121.4▲0.8WHT.SRW$6.42/bu▲1.84%RIC.THAI$612/t▲0.32%UREA$378/t▲2.71%LITH$13,820/t▼0.84%COBL$31,400/t—CU$9,820/t▲0.65%NI$17,420/t▼1.10%
~/countries/LVA·region: Europe·tier: monitored·methodology: v3.2cite · /api/v1/countries/LVA

Latvia / LVA

ISO LVALV│capital: Riga│region: Europe│population: 2M
STABLE
STRESS INDEX · v3.20.44

[ 01 ]$_STRESS INDEX · v3.2 composite

COMPOSITE · 0–1 SCALE0.44

The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.

stress index · 18-month history0–1 composite

[ 02 ]$_MACRO · economy and territory

NOMINAL GDP$47 bn
GDP PER CAPITA$24,600
AREA64,589 km²
POPULATION2M
INFLATION · 20263.3%
INFLATION FORECAST · 20272.7%
CURRENCY DEPR. · 1Y2%
PUBLIC DEBT / GDP45%
UNEMPLOYMENT6.5%
ELECTRICITY ACCESS100%
electricity generation mix · %
  • Fossil30 30.0%
  • Nuclear0 0.0%
  • Renewables70 70.0%
inflation · 2022–2027%

[ 03 ]$_ENERGY PROFILE · production and consumption

OIL PRODUCTION0 mb/d
OIL CONSUMPTION0.04 mb/d
GAS PRODUCTION0 bcm
GAS CONSUMPTION1.2 bcm
POSTUREnet importer
IMPORT DEPENDENCY45%

[ 04 ]$_FOOD POSTURE · cereals

CEREAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY160%
POSTUREnet exporter
key commodities:
oilgaswheat

[ 05 ]$_RESILIENCE · oil cover

OIL STOCK COVER90days

[ 06 ]$_COUNTRY BRIEF · shortage posture

Latvia hosts the Inčukalns underground gas storage, the strategic buffer for the entire Baltic region, and draws much of its power from hydro and biomass. It joined the continental European grid in 2025 after severing Russian links, and runs a large cereal surplus.

[ 07 ]$_VULNERABILITIES · pressure points

[ 08 ]$_WATER · drought & lake levels

WATER STRESSlow
DROUGHTwatch

Latvia has plentiful water resources and many lakes.

MAJOR LAKES & RESERVOIRS
  • Lake Lubānsnormal
  • Lake Rāznanormal

[ 09 ]$_EVENTS · tagged register

5 events recorded
2026-01-12ECONCold snap strains the European grid amid the Iran warENTSO-E2025-02-08ECONBaltic states desynchronise from the Russian gridENTSO-E2023-11-01ECONEU gas storage exceeds 90% ahead of winterAGSI+2022-08-26ECONEuropean wholesale power prices hit record highsENTSO-E2022-08-09ECONEU adopts a coordinated 15% gas demand-reduction planEuropean Council

[ 10 ]$_SCENARIOS · with exposure

// EU-GAS-2026

European winter gas-supply squeeze.

prob 0.46
severity 4.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 45 European markets · gas + power + storage refill
open scenario →

[ 11 ]$_STRATEGIC RESERVES · by stock type

STOCK TYPERESERVEDAYS COVERSTATUS
Oil · compulsory reserveIndustry holds the EU-mandated 90 days of net oil-import cover.~90 days90daysSTABLE
Natural gas · Inčukalns underground storageInčukalns is the principal strategic gas store for the Baltic states, anchoring regional winter supply.~2.3 Bcm working gas120daysSTABLE
Grain · exportable surplusLatvia runs a large cereal surplus exported through Baltic ports.ample140daysSTABLE

[ 12 ]$_CORPORATE FAILURES · Q1 2026

Q1 2026 FILINGS540
YEAR-ON-YEAR▲ +16%
RANK · WORLD#86
LogisticsWoodManufacturing
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/LVA | jq '.stress'
> 0.44
endpoint: /api/v1/countries/LVA·MCP: get-country-profile(iso=LVA)·license: CC-BY-4.0