Pacific island fuel crisis.
prob 0.49
severity 3.4 / 5 · revision 2026-05-09elevated · 12 Pacific island economies · diesel + power$ shortage country get WSM > stress_index: 0.58 WATCH > 2 events · 2 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Samoa imports all of its fuel and most of its food, with power drawn from diesel, hydropower and a growing solar share. A small Pacific economy built on agriculture, tourism and remittances, it is exposed to cyclones and tsunamis.
Samoa faces dry-season water stress, with El Niño drought lowering streams and supply.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported to a small Pacific island state. | moderate | 25days | WATCH |
| Electricity · diesel, hydro and solarPower is drawn from diesel, hydropower and a growing solar share. | balanced | — | WATCH |
| Food · commercial stocksSamoa imports most of its staple food. | limited | 30days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/WSM | jq '.stress' > 0.58