West African power deficit.
prob 0.47
severity 3.3 / 5 · revision 2026-05-07watch · 13 West African economies · power + industry$ shortage country get GNB > stress_index: 0.67 CRITICAL > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Guinea-Bissau imports all of its fuel and runs an unreliable, diesel-dependent grid. Chronic political instability and a history of coups have hampered development. Cashew nuts dominate its exports, leaving the economy exposed to a single crop, and it imports much of its rice.
Guinea-Bissau is relatively water-rich, though the dry season and saltwater intrusion affect its rivers.
No major lake or reservoir
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported; supply is thin and price-exposed. | low | 15days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · diesel generationThe grid relies on diesel and suffers frequent outages. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · rice stocksGuinea-Bissau imports much of its staple rice. | limited | 35days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/GNB | jq '.stress' > 0.67