West African power deficit.
prob 0.47
severity 3.3 / 5 · revision 2026-05-07watch · 13 West African economies · power + industry$ shortage country get GIN > stress_index: 0.60 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Guinea holds the world's largest bauxite reserves and is developing the giant Simandou iron-ore deposit, yet it imports all of its fuel. It has substantial untapped hydropower potential. Political instability following a 2021 coup adds uncertainty over its vast mineral wealth.
Guinea, the 'water tower of West Africa', is water-rich, the source of major regional rivers.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported through the port of Conakry. | limited | 20days | WATCH |
| Electricity · hydropowerHydropower covers a rising share of demand, with large untapped potential. | growing | — | WATCH |
| Bauxite · vast reservesGuinea holds the world's largest bauxite reserves, a pillar of global aluminium supply. | world-leading | — | STABLE |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/GIN | jq '.stress' > 0.60