South Caucasus energy-supply risk.
prob 0.31
severity 2.5 / 5 · revision 2026-05-04monitoring · 3 South Caucasus economies · transit + supply$ shortage country get GEO > stress_index: 0.48 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Georgia is a strategic energy-transit corridor, carrying Caspian oil and gas to Europe through the BTC and South Caucasus pipelines, yet it imports nearly all of its own fuel. Domestic hydropower covers much of its electricity. Its location between Russia and the wider region defines its exposure.
Georgia is water-rich, with abundant mountain rivers feeding hydropower.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · commercial inventoriesGeorgia imports its fuel while hosting the BTC pipeline that carries Caspian crude westward. | moderate | 30days | WATCH |
| Electricity · hydropowerHydropower covers much of demand, with imports filling winter and dry-season gaps. | seasonal | — | WATCH |
| Grain · commercial stocksCereal output covers part of demand; wheat is largely imported. | limited | 45days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/GEO | jq '.stress' > 0.48