Pacific island fuel crisis.
prob 0.49
severity 3.4 / 5 · revision 2026-05-09elevated · 12 Pacific island economies · diesel + power$ shortage country get FJI > stress_index: 0.55 WATCH > 2 events · 2 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Fiji, the most developed Pacific island economy and a regional hub, imports all of its fuel and most of its food. Hydropower covers part of its electricity, with diesel filling the rest. Tourism anchors the economy, which is acutely exposed to intensifying cyclones.
Fiji faces dry-season water stress, with El Niño droughts lowering reservoirs and rural supply.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported into the main Pacific regional hub. | moderate | 30days | WATCH |
| Electricity · hydro and dieselHydropower covers part of demand, with diesel filling the rest. | balanced | — | WATCH |
| Food · commercial stocksFiji imports most of its food; sugar is a key export crop. | limited | 30days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/FJI | jq '.stress' > 0.55