European winter gas-supply squeeze.
prob 0.46
severity 4.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 45 European markets · gas + power + storage refill$ shortage country get CYP > stress_index: 0.55 WATCH > 4 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Cyprus runs an isolated, non-interconnected power grid fired almost entirely by imported oil, with the EuroAsia electricity interconnector still under construction and offshore gas discoveries undeveloped. Negligible cereal output makes it a near-total food importer. Island isolation and water scarcity define its exposure.
Cyprus is one of Europe's most water-scarce countries, dependent on desalination and reservoirs drawn low by drought.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · compulsory reserveIndustry holds the EU-mandated 90 days of net oil-import cover — the backbone of an oil-dependent island. | ~90 days | 90days | STABLE |
| Electricity · isolated island gridCyprus has no operational electricity interconnector; the EuroAsia link to Greece and Israel is still under construction. | no interconnection | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · commercial stocksNegligible domestic cereal output leaves Cyprus a near-total food importer. | limited | 40days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/CYP | jq '.stress' > 0.55