Pacific island fuel crisis.
prob 0.49
severity 3.4 / 5 · revision 2026-05-09elevated · 12 Pacific island economies · diesel + power$ shortage country get TUV > stress_index: 0.72 CRITICAL > 1 events · 2 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Tuvalu, one of the world's smallest and lowest-lying nations, imports all of its energy and food. Diesel and solar supply tiny island grids. Sea-level rise is an existential threat — the country has begun planning for the relocation of its population and statehood.
Tuvalu has no usable rivers or groundwater and depends entirely on rainwater amid recurrent drought emergencies.
No major lake or reservoir
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported to tiny, remote atolls. | limited | 20days | WATCH |
| Electricity · diesel and solarDiesel and solar supply tiny island grids. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Food · commercial stocksTuvalu imports all of its food. | minimal | 25days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/TUV | jq '.stress' > 0.72