European winter gas-supply squeeze.
prob 0.46
severity 4.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 45 European markets · gas + power + storage refill$ shortage country get IRL > stress_index: 0.38 STABLE > 3 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Ireland imports most of its energy and, unusually, has no LNG import terminal and almost no gas storage, relying on a single subsea pipeline route from Britain as the Corrib field declines. Wind supplies a large share of power. Its dairy and beef export sector is large, but gas-supply fragility is the standout vulnerability.
Ireland's wet climate keeps water plentiful, though localised summer shortages occur around Dublin.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · NORA compulsory reserveThe National Oil Reserves Agency (NORA) holds the EU-mandated 90 days of net oil-import cover. | ~90 days | 90days | STABLE |
| Natural gas · minimal storageIreland has no LNG terminal and almost no gas storage; supply depends on subsea pipelines from Britain and the declining Corrib field. | negligible | 5days | CRITICAL |
| Grain · commercial stocksCereal cover is supplemented by imports; the agricultural economy is weighted toward dairy and beef. | moderate | 45days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/IRL | jq '.stress' > 0.38