European winter gas-supply squeeze.
prob 0.46
severity 4.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 45 European markets · gas + power + storage refill$ shortage country get FIN > stress_index: 0.34 STABLE > 5 events · 2 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $72.13/b ● TTF €44.25/MWh ● OPEC_ORB n/a SPR_US 331.2 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.8 ▼
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Finland severed its energy links with Russia after 2022, adding the Inkoo floating LNG terminal and bringing the Olkiluoto 3 reactor to full output. It maintains an unusually deep national stockpiling system covering fuels, grain and other essentials. Cold-climate heating demand and Baltic security define its exposure.
Finland, the land of thousands of lakes, is among the most water-rich countries in the world.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · National Emergency Supply reserveThe National Emergency Supply Agency holds reserves well above the EU 90-day minimum, a long-standing security-of-supply policy. | ~5+ months | 150days | STABLE |
| Natural gas · Inkoo LNG and BalticconnectorGas supply runs through the Inkoo floating LNG terminal and the Balticconnector pipeline after Russian supply ended. | import-based | 25days | WATCH |
| Grain · security-of-supply reserveFinland maintains a strategic grain reserve covering well over half a year of consumption. | 6–12 months | 270days | STABLE |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/FIN | jq '.stress' > 0.34