Indian monsoon failure compresses the cereal balance.
prob 0.27 · severity 3.8 / 5South Asia + African importers · rice + buffer-stock drawdown
open scenario →$ shortage commodity get H2O.AGR > spot: — idx > stress_index: 0.66 WATCH > updated 14:27 UTC
BRENT $70.38/b ▼ TTF €43.7/MWh ● OPEC_ORB n/a SPR_US 331.2 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.8 ▼
Composite agricultural water-stress index. Rising on drought signals across three basins.
Ag. Water Index (H2O.AGR) is a water commodity tracked by shortage.life with a live spot of — idx and a v3.2 stress index of 0.66. Quoted in idx, the price is sourced from primary institutional feeds and refreshed on the cadence documented at /methodology.
Composite agricultural water-stress index. Rising on drought signals across three basins. At the latest reading, Ag. Water Index prints a spot of — idx — a move of ▲4.20% over the past twenty-four hours and ▲12.4% across the trailing thirty days.
The v3.2 stress index places H2O.AGR at 0.66 — a watch reading on a composite that blends price momentum, inventory cover, supplier concentration and geopolitical exposure. The metric is recomputed on every ingestion cycle, and the weekly delta is the line worth tracking rather than the absolute level.
For operators, the question is not the spot itself but the buffer behind it. A tightening reading on Ag. Water Index compounds with any incident on a shared transit route or producer, and the cascade is rarely linear. The scenarios below carry H2O.AGR as an explicit input — each one is wargamed and reviewed against this commodity's exposure profile.