$ shortage markets watch --statements > tracking 98 market events > crude priced on rhetoric > updated 2026-06-30
BRENT $72.13/b ● TTF €44.25/MWh ● OPEC_ORB n/a SPR_US 331.2 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.8 ▼
Every market-moving statement from the Trump administration during the 2026 Iran war — speeches, Truth Social posts and executive actions — mapped against the Brent price. Each crude swing of 10%+ traced back to the rhetoric that drove it.
Market-moving statements from the Trump administration during the Iran war. Each crude swing of 10%+ tracked back to a speech, Truth Social post or executive action — Brent priced on rhetoric as much as barrels.
| date | type | statement | market impact | score | src |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | speech | Trump calls for gas prices to go down IMMEDIATELY ! | Brent +0.3% to $73.39 within 24h | +0.3 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-30 | speech | Map Shows Highest Gas Prices Across US as Trump Demands : Drop Your Price | Brent -0.2% to $73.50 within 24h | -0.2 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-30 | speech | Iran , Tehran closes the IAEA : « No to nuclear inspectors ». But Trump insists : they accepted | Brent +0.1% to $74.22 within 24h | +0.1 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-30 | speech | Trump Warns Gasoline Retailers Of Big Problem If They Dont Lower Prices : President Acting Like Biden , | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-29 | speech | Trump says Iran requested meeting in Doha Tuesday , Iran says no meeting expected | Brent +0.4% to $74.10 within 24h | +0.4 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-29 | speech | Trump says the U . S . and Iran will meet in Qatar after weekend attacks | Brent +0.4% to $74.10 within 24h | +0.4 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-29 | speech | Putin says Russia will press on with front - line campaign regardless of Ukraine proposals | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-28 | speech | Iran threatens to halt peace negotiations if US continues strikes | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-28 | speech | Iran attacks Bahrain and Kuwait following US strikes and threatens to halt talks | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-26 | speech | Trump claims US has upper hand in Iran negotiations : We knocked the hell out of them | World | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-26 | speech | Iran says ships must follow set routes through Gulf | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-25 | speech | US Economy Expanded at Solid 2 . 1 % Pace in January - March , Government Says | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-25 | speech | Trump tells Rutte he was let down by Nato countries on Iran | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-24 | speech | U . N . nuclear chief says inspectors will visit Iran , but Iran says only after final deal | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-24 | speech | Trump orders probe into oil giants over fuel - price gouging | Brent -0.7% to $74.65 within 24h | -0.7 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-24 | speech | Trump threatened Netanyahu with divorce , NYT reporters say in new book | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-24 | speech | Trump claims Iran agrees never to acquire nuclear weapon under peace agreement – The Indian Awaaz | Brent -0.3% to $75.79 within 24h | -0.3 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-24 | speech | Delta CEO Ed Bastian reveals what he says must happen for airline ticket prices to fall | Brent +0.4% to $76.50 within 24h | +0.4 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-24 | speech | U . S . Naive on Iran , Israel May Act Alone , Security Minister Says | Brent +0.4% to $76.50 within 24h | +0.4 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-24 | speech | US can finish the job in a week if Iran not reasonable : Trump warns | Brent +0.4% to $76.50 within 24h | +0.4 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-24 | speech | Im out : Tucker Carlson announces formal break from Republican Party , says its not loyal to US | Brent +0.4% to $76.50 within 24h | +0.4 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-23 | speech | Vance says talks with Iranian officials set good foundation for a deal to end the war | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-23 | interview | US official says JD Vance made great progress in US - Iran talks | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-22 | speech | Keir Starmer announces resignation as united kingdom prime minister | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-21 | interview | Senate likely next No . 2 warns Trump if Democrats take the majority : It going to be a fight on key values | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-21 | speech | JD Vance says 16 million barrels of oil flowed through Hormuz in 24 hours | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-18 | speech | Iran Deal Signed , U . S .- Iranian Delegations To Meet In Switzerland | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-15 | speech | Deal is reached to end Iran war and Trump orders stop to US naval blockade | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-15 | speech | Crude oil futures drop after Trump promises an Iran deal will be signed Friday | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-13 | speech | Araghchi says US - Iran deal could happen in the coming days | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-13 | speech | Trump says U . S . military strike killed leader of Tren de Aragua gang | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-13 | speech | Trump threatens more strikes on Iran after it fires back at countries in region | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-13 | speech | Expert suggests humiliation awaits Trump if he signs Iran deal | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-13 | speech | Trump says US military strike killed leader of Tren de Aragua gang | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-13 | speech | Trump accuses Iran of attacking Indian ships , says it totally unacceptable | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-13 | speech | US strikes and Iran fires back as Trump says it will pay price for stalled talks | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-11 | interview | Trump warns about possible further strikes on Iran | ABC News Top Stories | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-10 | speech | All the signs that Trump is going mad as wildest rants of second term revealed | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-10 | speech | South Korea : Lee says Iran war makes North Korea less likely to give up nukes | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-09 | speech | Trump Says US in Final Throe of Iran Deal , Strait of Hormuz Could Reopen Within Days | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-09 | speech | Israel and Iran agree to pause strikes , Trump says | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-09 | speech | US Army helicopter crashes near Strait of Hormuz ; Trump says crew uninjured | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-09 | speech | Fed to hold rates this year , cut calls fade as war inflation persists , economists say | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-07 | speech | Trump Says U . S Will Work With Iran To Destroy Uranium If Deal Reached | Talk Radio 105 . 9 | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-07 | speech | Israel says Iran launched missiles at it in the first such bombardment during fragile ceasefire | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-07 | speech | Trump says 100 - day - old Iran war doesnt betray his no new war campaign pledge | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-07 | speech | Israel says Iran launched a missile at it , in a first during fragile ceasefire | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-07 | speech | Israel says Iran launched missiles at it in first bombardment since ceasefire | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-07 | speech | US eyes Iranian assets for Gulf allie reconstruction , source says | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-07 | speech | Kuwait Says It Was Targeted by Seven Iranian Missiles Overnight | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-06 | speech | Pope Leo calls for leaders to reject polarisation as he begins Spanish tour | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-06 | speech | Oil traders warned closing the Strait of Hormuz would be catastrophe | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-06 | speech | Iran says frozen funds key to progress in US talks | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-06 | speech | Trump says fertilizer prices will come way down | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-06 | speech | US military says it shot down Iranian missiles , drones launched toward Gulf allies , Strait of Hormuz | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-06 | speech | Iran World Cup players granted visas to enter the US , says White House official | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-06 | speech | U . S . military says it shot down Iranian drones launched toward Gulf allies | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-05 | speech | Trump says he will attend Game 3 of NBA Finals to root for Knicks – NBC Connecticut | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-05 | speech | Trump says he does not need deal with Iran to get enriched uranium | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-04 | speech | GOP scratching their head as Trump says all the wrong things for the midterms | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-06-04 | speech | Trump calls House Iran war vote meaningless , blasts GOP backers as GRANDSTANDERS | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-31 | interview | Netanyahu vows to expand Israel grip on Lebanon after deepest incursion in 26 years | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-31 | speech | Iran says does not trust US as Trump toughens terms | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-31 | speech | Trump says Iran deal near , warns military option remains | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-31 | speech | US fires missile into commercial ship trying to reach Iran , Central Command says | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-31 | speech | US fires missile into commercial ship trying to reach Iran , Central Command says - 31 - May - 2026 | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-31 | speech | US more than capable of restarting war with Iran , warns Pete Hegseth | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-31 | speech | US says it is more than capable of resuming war on Iran | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-31 | speech | Trump says a ceasefire extension deal with Iran is near , but core issues remain | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-31 | speech | Hegseth tones down warnings about China but says US remains committed to Pacific security | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-29 | speech | Vance Says US , Iran Still Going Back And Forth | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-29 | speech | Vance Says US , Iran Still Going Back And Forth | The Patriot KEIB AM 1150 | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-29 | speech | Vance says US not there yet on Iran , but close | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-29 | speech | Treasury Secretary calls economy challenging as inflation rises and growth slows | no 24h Brent reading post-event | +0 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-28 | speech | UK cyberspying chief calls AI an unstoppable force and warns about Russia | News , Sports , Jobs | Brent -0.1% to $94.55 within 24h | -0.1 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-28 | speech | Why Trump allegations of white persecution in South Africa are denied | Brent -0.1% to $94.55 within 24h | -0.1 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-28 | speech | US and Iran trade strikes as Trump denies Hormuz deal | Brent -0.1% to $94.55 within 24h | -0.1 | GDELT |
| 2026-05-16 | interview | Iran announces Hormuz toll — Trump reaction awaited | Markets closed Saturday — Monday open will be closely watched | +2.5 | CBS News |
| 2026-05-15 | interview | 'We wiped out their armed forces' | Brent +3.18% to $109.26, WTI +4.20% to $105.42 | +4 | Fox News / CBS News |
| 2026-05-15 | speech | 'I'm losing patience' with Iran — back from China | Brent +3.18% to $109.26, WTI +4.20% to $105.42 | +4 | CNBC / StoneX |
| 2026-05-12 | interview | 'I don't think about Americans' financial situation' | WTI held around $98-100, market reads it as tolerance for high prices | +1.5 | CNN / NBC News |
| 2026-05-11 | speech | Ceasefire 'on life support' | Brent +4% to $107.50, WTI +4% to $101.40 | +3.5 | CNBC / Euronews |
| 2026-05-10 | truth_social | 'After reading that piece of garbage they sent...' | Brent jumps from $103 to $114 (+10%), WTI follows | +4.5 | Washington Post / NPR / Bloomberg |
| 2026-05-10 | truth_social | Rejection of the Iranian peace offer | Brent jumps from $103 to $114 (+10%), WTI follows | +4 | Fortune |
| 2026-05-06 | truth_social | Pause on the Hormuz naval escort operation | Brent -7% to $103.70, WTI -7% to $98.75 — sharp drop | -4 | CNBC |
| 2026-05-04 | truth_social | Warning against attacks on US ships (after Iranian strikes on UAE) | Brent +6% to $114.44, WTI +4% to $106.42 | +4 | CNN / CNBC |
| 2026-05-04 | speech | Vow of action on Hormuz — plan to reopen the strait | Brent flat at $114, plan judged insufficient | +1.5 | Al Jazeera / Euronews |
| 2026-05-01 | truth_social | Response to Iranian peace offer via Pakistan | Brent -4% on the news, $118 to $113 | -2.5 | CNBC |
| 2026-04-29 | executive_action | War Powers deadline approaches | Brent +6% over 2 days on escalation fears | +3.5 | CNBC |
| 2026-04-21 | interview | 'I thought the oil would be much higher' | Brent rebounds toward $102, market reads it as tolerance for higher prices | +2.5 | Fortune |
| 2026-04-08 | truth_social | Announcement of a 2-week ceasefire with Iran | Brent -13% to $95, WTI -14% to $96 — biggest daily crash since Covid | -4.5 | NPR / Al Jazeera |
| 2026-04-07 | truth_social | Strait of Hormuz ultimatum | Extreme WTI volatility, intraday $114.58 then $96.17 the next day | +4 | CNBC / NBC News |
| 2026-04-02 | speech | Speech drives crude up 11% (600M barrels at risk) | WTI +11% on the session, Brent at $124, the war's high | +4.5 | CNBC / CBS News |
| 2026-04-01 | speech | First national address on the Iran war (Day 33) | Pre-speech volatility — market in wait-and-see mode | +3.5 | CNN |
| 2026-03-26 | truth_social | Pause on strikes extended to April 6 | Brent eases slightly, market temporarily relieved | +2.5 | CNBC |
| 2026-03-10 | truth_social | Threat: 'TWENTY TIMES HARDER' | Brent rebounds to $103, ending the de-escalation illusion | +4 | CNN Business |
| 2026-03-09 | truth_social | Oil prices a 'small price to pay' | Brent breaks $100/bbl on March 12 amid escalation | +3.5 | Washington Post / CNN |
| 2026-02-28 | speech | Declaration of war on Iran | WTI +11.42 to $111.54 (+11%), Brent +$7.87 to $109.03 (+8%) | +4.5 | CNBC / CBS News |