Central Asian winter power and gas shortfall.
prob 0.43
severity 3.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-07watch · 6 Central Asian economies · gas + power$ shortage country get UZB > stress_index: 0.45 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $72.13/b ● TTF €44.25/MWh ● OPEC_ORB n/a SPR_US 331.2 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.8 ▼
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Uzbekistan has long been a natural-gas producer, but maturing fields and rising domestic demand recently turned it into a net gas importer, with winter shortages straining its grid. A doubly landlocked country, it depends on long transit routes. Cotton and wheat anchor its agriculture.
Uzbekistan sits at the centre of the Aral Sea catastrophe and faces extreme water stress in a desert climate.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Natural gas · domestic fieldsOutput has fallen below demand, forcing imports and causing winter shortages. | declining | 25days | WATCH |
| Oil · commercial inventoriesDomestic crude is modest; product supply leans on imports. | limited | 25days | WATCH |
| Grain · state reserveDomestic wheat broadly covers demand, supported by a state grain reserve. | moderate | 70days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/UZB | jq '.stress' > 0.45