shortage.life · last_sync · 2026-09-11 00:00:00 UTCbuild 2215125 · node v22.22.2

// node

shortage.life
brussels
● online · 8 sources

// $_ exec

$ shortage country get TKM
> stress_index: 0.42 STABLE
> 1 events · 1 scenarios
> refreshed 2026-05-17

// readout · live

BRENT     $105.4/b ▼
TTF       €81.97/MWh ▲
OPEC_ORB  $108.8/b ●
SPR_US    286.6 Mb ▼
FAO_FFPI  133.3 ▲
revalidate 15mUTC 00:00:00
$_TICKER
BRENT$105.35▼3.95%TTF€81.97▲3.80%HH$2.82▼0.70%SPR_US286.6 Mb14.7dEU_GAS69.9%18c avgOPEC_ORB$108.79● flatFAO_FFPI133.3▲1.9%WHT$7.34/bu▼0.98%BRENT$105.35▼3.95%TTF€81.97▲3.80%HH$2.82▼0.70%SPR_US286.6 Mb14.7dEU_GAS69.9%18c avgOPEC_ORB$108.79● flatFAO_FFPI133.3▲1.9%WHT$7.34/bu▼0.98%
~/countries/TKM·region: Central Asia·tier: monitored·methodology: v3.2cite · /api/v1/countries/TKM

Turkmenistan / TKM

ISO TKMTM│capital: Ashgabat│region: Central Asia│population: 7M
STABLE
STRESS INDEX · v3.20.42

[ 00 ]  $_COMMODITIES · TKM · live readings

[ 01 ]$_STRESS INDEX · v3.2 composite

COMPOSITE · 0–1 SCALE0.42

The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.

stress index · 18-month history0–1 composite

[ 02 ]$_MACRO · economy and territory

NOMINAL GDP$60 bn
GDP PER CAPITA$9,000
AREA488,100 km²
POPULATION7M
INFLATION · 20266%
INFLATION FORECAST · 20275.5%
CURRENCY DEPR. · 1Y10%
PUBLIC DEBT / GDP12%
UNEMPLOYMENT4.5%
ELECTRICITY ACCESS100%
electricity generation mix · %
  • Fossil100 100.0%
  • Nuclear0 0.0%
  • Renewables0 0.0%
inflation · 2022–2027%

[ 03 ]$_ENERGY PROFILE · production and consumption

OIL PRODUCTION0.2 mb/d
OIL CONSUMPTION0.15 mb/d
GAS PRODUCTION80 bcm
GAS CONSUMPTION35 bcm
POSTUREnet exporter
IMPORT DEPENDENCYnet surplus 250%

[ 04 ]$_FOOD POSTURE · cereals

CEREAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY90%
POSTUREnet importer
key commodities:
gasoilwheat

[ 05 ]$_RESILIENCE · oil cover

OIL STOCK COVER30days

[ 06 ]$_COUNTRY BRIEF · shortage posture

Turkmenistan holds some of the world's largest natural-gas reserves and depends almost entirely on gas exports, now overwhelmingly to a single buyer, China. A doubly landlocked, highly closed economy, its concentration of exports on one route and customer is its defining vulnerability.

[ 07 ]$_VULNERABILITIES · pressure points

[ 08 ]$_WATER · drought & lake levels

WATER STRESSextreme
DROUGHTsevere

Turkmenistan is a desert country under extreme water stress, dependent on the Amu Darya and the Karakum Canal.

MAJOR LAKES & RESERVOIRS
  • Caspian Sea (shared)low
  • Sarygamysh Lakebelow normal

[ 09 ]$_EVENTS · tagged register

1 events recorded
2026-01-18ECONCentral Asia hit by a winter gas shortfallCAREC Energy

[ 10 ]$_SCENARIOS · with exposure

// CENTRALASIA-2026

Central Asian winter power and gas shortfall.

prob 0.43
severity 3.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-07watch · 6 Central Asian economies · gas + power
open scenario →

[ 11 ]$_STRATEGIC RESERVES · by stock type

STOCK TYPERESERVEDAYS COVERSTATUS
Natural gas · vast reservesTurkmenistan holds some of the world's largest gas reserves; exports go mostly to China.very large—STABLE
Crude and products · domesticDomestic crude and refining cover the small home market.adequate30daysSTABLE
Grain · state reserveDesert agriculture produces a partial wheat crop; the balance is imported.moderate60daysWATCH

[ 12 ]$_CORPORATE FAILURES · Q1 2026

Q1 2026 FILINGS180
YEAR-ON-YEAR▲ +6%
RANK · WORLD#141
Gas
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/TKM | jq '.stress'
> 0.42
endpoint: /api/v1/countries/TKM·MCP: get-country-profile(iso=TKM)·license: CC-BY-4.0