Levant energy-system collapse.
prob 0.54
severity 4.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-11elevated · 5 Levant economies · power + fuel$ shortage country get SYR > stress_index: 0.90 CRITICAL > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Syria's economy and infrastructure have been devastated by more than a decade of civil war. Oil and gas output is a fraction of pre-war levels, power supply is intermittent, and the country depends on imported fuel under sanctions. Drought and conflict have collapsed its once self-sufficient grain production.
Syria has suffered historic drought, with the Euphrates lakes and reservoirs drawn to severe lows.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude and products · war-disruptedProduction and refining are crippled by war; fuel supply is chronically short. | depleted | 10days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · damaged gridPower is intermittent across a grid wrecked by years of conflict. | severely impaired | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · commercial and aid stocksOnce a wheat exporter, Syria now depends on imports and aid amid drought and war. | critically low | 30days | CRITICAL |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/SYR | jq '.stress' > 0.90