shortage.life · last_sync · 2026-07-03 16:59:58 UTCbuild 27d88d1 · node v22.22.2

// node

shortage.life
v0.3 · brussels · build f3a2c81
● online · 47/47 sources · 312ms

// $_ exec

$ shortage country get PAN
> stress_index: 0.34 STABLE
> 2 events · 1 scenarios
> refreshed 2026-05-17

// readout · live

BRENT     $72.13/b ●
TTF       €44.25/MWh ●
OPEC_ORB  n/a
SPR_US    331.2 Mb ▼
FAO_FFPI  130.8 ▼
auto-refresh 60slatency 312msbuild 0.3.0commit f3a2c81UTC 00:00:00
$_TICKER
BRENT$72.13● 0.0%TTF€44.25● 0.0%HH$3.25● 0.0%SPR_US331.2 Mb17.0dEU_GAS47.7%18c avgFAO_FFPI130.8▼0.2%WHT$6.00/bu● 0.0%BRENT$72.13● 0.0%TTF€44.25● 0.0%HH$3.25● 0.0%SPR_US331.2 Mb17.0dEU_GAS47.7%18c avgFAO_FFPI130.8▼0.2%WHT$6.00/bu● 0.0%
~/countries/PAN·region: Central America·tier: monitored·methodology: v3.2cite · /api/v1/countries/PAN

Panama / PAN

ISO PANPA│capital: Panama City│region: Central America│population: 4.5M
STABLE
STRESS INDEX · v3.20.34

[ 00 ]  $_COMMODITIES · PAN · live readings

[ 01 ]$_STRESS INDEX · v3.2 composite

COMPOSITE · 0–1 SCALE0.34

The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.

stress index · 18-month history0–1 composite

[ 02 ]$_MACRO · economy and territory

NOMINAL GDP$87 bn
GDP PER CAPITA$19,000
AREA75,417 km²
POPULATION4.5M
INFLATION · 20262.2%
INFLATION FORECAST · 20272%
CURRENCY DEPR. · 1Y2%
PUBLIC DEBT / GDP55%
UNEMPLOYMENT8%
ELECTRICITY ACCESS95%
electricity generation mix · %
  • Fossil32 32.0%
  • Nuclear0 0.0%
  • Renewables68 68.0%
inflation · 2022–2027%

[ 03 ]$_ENERGY PROFILE · production and consumption

OIL PRODUCTION0 mb/d
OIL CONSUMPTION0.13 mb/d
GAS PRODUCTION0 bcm
GAS CONSUMPTION0.5 bcm
POSTUREnet importer
IMPORT DEPENDENCY70%

[ 04 ]$_FOOD POSTURE · cereals

CEREAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY25%
POSTUREnet importer
key commodities:
oilgaswheatwater

[ 05 ]$_RESILIENCE · oil cover

OIL STOCK COVER30days

[ 06 ]$_COUNTRY BRIEF · shortage posture

Panama is a logistics and shipping hub whose economy turns on the Panama Canal. It imports nearly all of its fuel and runs a power mix of hydro, an LNG plant and imported oil. Recurrent drought lowers canal water levels, squeezing transits, hydropower and the wider economy at once.

[ 07 ]$_VULNERABILITIES · pressure points

[ 08 ]$_WATER · drought & lake levels

WATER STRESSmoderate
DROUGHTsevere

Drought has lowered Gatún Lake, forcing draft and transit restrictions on the Panama Canal.

MAJOR LAKES & RESERVOIRS
  • Gatún Lakelow
  • Alajuela Lakebelow normal

[ 09 ]$_EVENTS · tagged register

2 events recorded
2026-04-08CLIMDrought cuts Central American hydropowerSICA Energy2024-02-15CLIMPanama Canal drought forces deep transit cutsPanama Canal Authority

[ 10 ]$_SCENARIOS · with exposure

// PANAMA-2026

Prolonged Panama Canal drought disruption.

prob 0.44
severity 3.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-09watch · 8 Pacific-facing economies · freight + grain + fuel
open scenario →

[ 11 ]$_STRATEGIC RESERVES · by stock type

STOCK TYPERESERVEDAYS COVERSTATUS
Oil · commercial inventoriesNearly all fuel is imported; the Colón free zone holds significant transit stock.moderate30daysWATCH
Electricity · hydro and LNGHydropower and an LNG-fired plant cover demand; drought lowers hydro output.balanced—WATCH
Grain · commercial stocksVery low cereal self-sufficiency leaves Panama dependent on imported staples.limited35daysWATCH

[ 12 ]$_CORPORATE FAILURES · Q1 2026

Q1 2026 FILINGS640
YEAR-ON-YEAR▲ +12%
RANK · WORLD#78
LogisticsCanal servicesConstruction
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/PAN | jq '.stress'
> 0.34
endpoint: /api/v1/countries/PAN·MCP: get-country-profile(iso=PAN)·license: CC-BY-4.0