Pacific island fuel crisis.
prob 0.49
severity 3.4 / 5 · revision 2026-05-09elevated · 12 Pacific island economies · diesel + power$ shortage country get NRU > stress_index: 0.68 CRITICAL > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Nauru, one of the world's smallest states, imports all of its fuel and food after decades of phosphate mining stripped its interior and exhausted the resource that once made it wealthy. Diesel generation supplies its single island grid.
Nauru has no rivers and depends on rainwater and desalination under recurrent drought.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported to a single small island. | limited | 20days | WATCH |
| Electricity · diesel generationDiesel generation supplies the single island grid. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Food · commercial stocksWith a mined-out interior, Nauru imports all of its food. | minimal | 25days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/NRU | jq '.stress' > 0.68