Sahel instability disrupts fuel and food supply.
prob 0.56
severity 4.0 / 5 · revision 2026-05-09elevated · 4 Sahel economies · fuel + food + transit$ shortage country get NER > stress_index: 0.78 CRITICAL > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Niger produces oil and is a significant uranium supplier, and a new pipeline to Benin has opened crude exports. Yet it is one of the world's poorest countries, a landlocked Sahel state facing jihadist insurgency, political upheaval after a 2023 coup, and recurrent drought across the Sahel.
Niger faces extreme Sahel drought, and Lake Chad on its border has shrunk dramatically.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude · Agadem field and export pipelineA new pipeline to Benin has opened crude exports from the Agadem field. | developing | 20days | WATCH |
| Uranium · productionNiger is a significant uranium producer, a notable share of global supply. | significant | — | STABLE |
| Grain · commercial and aid stocksDrought and insecurity recurrently push the Sahel population into food stress. | low | 40days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/NER | jq '.stress' > 0.78