Central Asian winter power and gas shortfall.
prob 0.43
severity 3.1 / 5 · revision 2026-05-07watch · 6 Central Asian economies · gas + power$ shortage country get MNG > stress_index: 0.48 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Mongolia is a major coal and copper exporter, shipping its mineral wealth almost entirely to China, yet it imports nearly all of its refined fuel, mostly from Russia. Landlocked between two giant neighbours, it is exposed on every supply route. A harsh climate and the recurring 'dzud' winter disaster pressure its herding economy.
Mongolia faces severe drought and shrinking lakes across its arid steppe and Gobi.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksNearly all refined fuel is imported from Russia; stocks are thin in a landlocked market. | limited | 20days | WATCH |
| Coal · production for exportMongolia is a major coal exporter, with output overwhelmingly bound for China. | large | — | STABLE |
| Grain · commercial stocksDomestic wheat covers most demand; harsh winters periodically cut output and livestock. | moderate | 60days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/MNG | jq '.stress' > 0.48