Caribbean import-fuel crisis.
prob 0.48
severity 3.5 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 14 Caribbean economies · diesel + jet fuel + power$ shortage country get JAM > stress_index: 0.50 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $91.4/b ▲ TTF €62.35/MWh ▲ OPEC_ORB $108.8/b ● SPR_US 304.8 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.3 ▼
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Jamaica imports all of its fuel and has shifted much of its power generation from oil to imported LNG. Hurricanes are a recurrent threat to its grid and harvests. Low cereal self-sufficiency makes it a structural food importer.
Jamaica faces recurrent drought, with the reservoirs supplying Kingston drawn down.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · commercial inventoriesAll liquid fuel is imported; stocks buffer hurricane-season disruption. | moderate | 30days | WATCH |
| Natural gas · LNG-fired generationImported LNG now fuels much of the power system, displacing oil. | import-based | 15days | WATCH |
| Grain · commercial stocksNegligible cereal output leaves Jamaica dependent on imported staples. | limited | 30days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/JAM | jq '.stress' > 0.50