Southeast Asian grid strain.
prob 0.42
severity 3.0 / 5 · revision 2026-05-06watch · 11 Southeast Asian economies · power + manufacturing$ shortage country get IDN > stress_index: 0.40 STABLE > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Indonesia is the world's largest thermal-coal exporter and a major palm-oil and gas producer, but its crude output has long declined while consumption has surged, making it a net oil importer. It runs heavy fuel subsidies. A sprawling archipelago, it faces complex logistics for both energy and food.
Indonesia is water-rich, though El Niño years bring drought to Java and the eastern islands.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude and products · commercial inventoriesIndonesia is a net oil importer; the state company Pertamina manages crude and product stocks. | moderate | 25days | WATCH |
| Natural gas and coal · productionIndonesia is the world's top thermal-coal exporter and a significant LNG supplier. | large export surplus | — | STABLE |
| Grain · Bulog rice reserveThe state agency Bulog holds a rice buffer; import needs rise in drought years. | large | 80days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/IDN | jq '.stress' > 0.40