Cuban national grid collapse.
prob 0.57
severity 4.0 / 5 · revision 2026-05-08elevated · Cuba + Haiti · power + food cold chain$ shortage country get HTI > stress_index: 0.90 CRITICAL > 1 events · 2 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Haiti is in a state of near-collapse: armed groups control much of the capital and have repeatedly blockaded the main fuel terminal, choking the entire economy. It imports all of its fuel and much of its food. Acute food insecurity has pushed parts of the population toward famine conditions.
Haiti faces acute water stress, deforestation and recurrent drought that deepen food insecurity.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · commercial inventoriesFuel supply collapses whenever armed groups blockade the Varreux terminal. | depleted | 5days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · minimal gridThe public grid reaches a small share of the population and runs intermittently. | severely impaired | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · humanitarian and commercial stocksFood supply depends on imports and aid through insecure, frequently blockaded routes. | critically low | 20days | CRITICAL |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/HTI | jq '.stress' > 0.90