East African foreign-exchange and fuel squeeze.
prob 0.46
severity 3.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-06watch · 10 East African economies · fuel + FX + food$ shortage country get DJI > stress_index: 0.60 WATCH > 2 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $72.13/b ● TTF €44.25/MWh ● OPEC_ORB n/a SPR_US 331.2 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.8 ▼
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Djibouti imports all of its energy and almost all of its food, but its strategic location at the mouth of the Red Sea has made it a major ports-and-logistics hub, the trade gateway for landlocked Ethiopia. It imports much of its electricity from Ethiopian hydropower and is developing renewables.
Djibouti is an arid country under extreme water stress, dependent on aquifers and desalination.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported into a strategic Red Sea logistics hub. | moderate | 25days | WATCH |
| Electricity · imports and renewablesMuch electricity is imported from Ethiopia, with renewables expanding. | balanced | — | WATCH |
| Food · commercial stocksWith negligible agriculture, Djibouti imports almost all of its food. | limited | 30days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/DJI | jq '.stress' > 0.60