Cuban national grid collapse.
prob 0.57
severity 4.0 / 5 · revision 2026-05-08elevated · Cuba + Haiti · power + food cold chain$ shortage country get CUB > stress_index: 0.74 CRITICAL > 1 events · 2 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $88.52/b ● TTF €61.42/MWh ▲ OPEC_ORB $108.8/b ● SPR_US 304.8 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.3 ▼
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Cuba is mired in a chronic energy crisis: ageing oil-fired power stations and a shortage of fuel imports produce repeated nationwide blackouts. It has long leaned on discounted Venezuelan crude, itself now unreliable. The US embargo and a foreign-exchange shortage constrain both energy and food imports.
Cuba has faced severe multi-year drought that has drawn reservoirs low and disrupted water supply.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · commercial inventoriesFuel stocks are thin; shortfalls in imports translate directly into power blackouts. | critically low | 10days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · ageing oil-fired plantsDecrepit thermal plants and fuel scarcity cause repeated grid collapses. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · state ration stocksThe state ration depends on imported wheat and rice constrained by the foreign-exchange shortage. | low | 40days | CRITICAL |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/CUB | jq '.stress' > 0.74