South Asian fertilizer and fuel crunch.
prob 0.50
severity 3.7 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 8 South Asian economies · fertilizer + fuel + food$ shortage country get BTN > stress_index: 0.40 STABLE > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Bhutan generates a large surplus of hydroelectricity from its Himalayan rivers, which it exports to India as its principal source of revenue, yet it imports every drop of liquid fuel. Landlocked and mountainous, it depends entirely on India for fuel and much of its food.
Bhutan is water-rich from Himalayan rivers, though glacial-lake outburst floods are a hazard.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Electricity · Himalayan hydropowerHydropower exports to India are Bhutan's main revenue source. | large export surplus | — | STABLE |
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll liquid fuel is imported from India. | low | 15days | WATCH |
| Grain · commercial stocksCereal output covers part of demand; the balance is imported from India. | limited | 40days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/BTN | jq '.stress' > 0.40