Caribbean import-fuel crisis.
prob 0.48
severity 3.5 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 14 Caribbean economies · diesel + jet fuel + power$ shortage country get BLZ > stress_index: 0.48 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Belize is a small Caribbean-coast economy that imports almost all of its fuel and draws power partly from Mexico. Hurricanes are a recurrent threat to its infrastructure and harvests. Cereal output covers only part of demand.
Belize is relatively water-rich, though dry-season shortages affect agriculture.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · commercial inventoriesAlmost all fuel is imported; stocks are thin in a small, hurricane-exposed market. | very low | 20days | WATCH |
| Electricity · hydro and cross-border supplyDomestic hydropower is supplemented by electricity imported from Mexico. | balanced | — | WATCH |
| Grain · commercial stocksCereal output covers part of demand; the balance is imported. | limited | 30days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/BLZ | jq '.stress' > 0.48