Sahel instability disrupts fuel and food supply.
prob 0.56
severity 4.0 / 5 · revision 2026-05-09elevated · 4 Sahel economies · fuel + food + transit$ shortage country get BFA > stress_index: 0.75 CRITICAL > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Burkina Faso imports all of its fuel overland and much of its electricity from Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana. A landlocked Sahel state, it faces one of the world's most severe jihadist insurgencies, which has displaced millions and cut off whole regions, deepening a grave food crisis.
Burkina Faso faces severe Sahel drought, dependent on reservoirs that fall low in dry years.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported overland; insecurity disrupts the supply routes. | very low | 15days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · domestic and importedDomestic generation is supplemented by electricity imported from neighbours. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · commercial and aid stocksConflict has cut off whole regions, pushing parts of the population into food crisis. | low | 35days | CRITICAL |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/BFA | jq '.stress' > 0.75