Caribbean import-fuel crisis.
prob 0.48
severity 3.5 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 14 Caribbean economies · diesel + jet fuel + power$ shortage country get ATG > stress_index: 0.48 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Antigua and Barbuda imports nearly all of its energy and food, running a diesel-fired grid for a tourism-driven economy. Water scarcity is met largely by desalination. Hurricanes pose a recurrent existential threat.
Antigua and Barbuda is highly water-scarce, dependent on desalination amid recurrent drought.
No major lake or reservoir
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · commercial inventoriesNearly all fuel is imported to run a diesel-fired island grid. | limited | 18days | WATCH |
| Food · commercial stocksNegligible agriculture leaves the islands dependent on imported staples. | minimal | 20days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/ATG | jq '.stress' > 0.48