South Asian fertilizer and fuel crunch.
prob 0.50
severity 3.7 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 8 South Asian economies · fertilizer + fuel + food$ shortage country get AFG > stress_index: 0.88 CRITICAL > 2 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Afghanistan imports most of its fuel and electricity from its Central Asian neighbours, with a power grid that reaches only part of the population. Years of conflict, the collapse of aid and recurrent drought have produced one of the world's gravest humanitarian crises and widespread acute hunger.
Afghanistan has endured years of severe drought that have devastated harvests and dried wetlands.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksMost fuel is imported from Central Asia; stocks are minimal in a cash-starved economy. | very low | 10days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · imported supplyMuch of the grid's power is imported; coverage reaches only part of the population. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · humanitarian and commercial stocksDrought and the aid collapse have left millions facing acute hunger. | critically low | 30days | CRITICAL |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/AFG | jq '.stress' > 0.88