Southern African grid crisis.
prob 0.53
severity 3.8 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 10 Southern African economies · power + mining$ shortage country get ZWE > stress_index: 0.68 CRITICAL > 3 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Zimbabwe imports all of its fuel and suffers chronic electricity shortages, its grid split between drought-hit Kariba hydropower and ageing Hwange coal plants. Years of economic crisis and currency instability have strained its ability to pay for imports. Recurrent drought pressures the maize harvest.
Severe drought has drawn Lake Kariba critically low, causing prolonged power cuts.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported amid recurrent foreign-exchange shortages. | low | 15days | WATCH |
| Electricity · Kariba hydro and Hwange coalThe grid is split between drought-hit hydropower and ageing coal plants. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · maize stocksRecurrent drought repeatedly cuts the maize harvest. | low | 40days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/ZWE | jq '.stress' > 0.68