East African foreign-exchange and fuel squeeze.
prob 0.46
severity 3.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-06watch · 10 East African economies · fuel + FX + food$ shortage country get TZA > stress_index: 0.52 WATCH > 2 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $90.79/b ▼ TTF €62.72/MWh ▲ OPEC_ORB $108.8/b ● SPR_US 304.8 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.3 ▼
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Tanzania imports all of its oil but has significant domestic natural gas that fuels much of its power, with large offshore reserves and a proposed LNG project still under negotiation. A major regional maize producer, it generally runs a food surplus. The port of Dar es Salaam serves several landlocked neighbours.
Tanzania holds Africa's great lakes on its borders, though its interior faces recurrent drought.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll oil is imported via Dar es Salaam, a corridor also serving neighbours. | moderate | 25days | WATCH |
| Natural gas · domestic fieldsDomestic gas fuels much of the grid; large offshore reserves await development. | adequate | — | STABLE |
| Grain · maize surplusTanzania is a major regional maize producer with a general food surplus. | comfortable | 110days | STABLE |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/TZA | jq '.stress' > 0.52