Maghreb energy-transition strain.
prob 0.30
severity 2.4 / 5 · revision 2026-05-04monitoring · 4 Maghreb economies · gas + renewables$ shortage country get TUN > stress_index: 0.62 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Tunisia imports most of its energy and depends partly on Algerian gas and transit royalties from the pipeline carrying Algerian gas to Italy. A protracted fiscal crisis has strained its ability to pay for fuel and grain. Drought has cut its cereal harvest, deepening food-import reliance.
Tunisia has suffered a prolonged drought that has drawn its dams to critically low levels.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · commercial inventoriesMost fuel is imported; fiscal strain periodically disrupts supply. | ~30 days | 30days | WATCH |
| Natural gas · domestic and Algerian supplyDomestic gas plus Algerian volumes and transit royalties cover power demand. | balanced | 20days | WATCH |
| Grain · state wheat stocksDrought and fiscal pressure complicate wheat procurement. | moderate | 60days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/TUN | jq '.stress' > 0.62