Sahel instability disrupts fuel and food supply.
prob 0.56
severity 4.0 / 5 · revision 2026-05-09elevated · 4 Sahel economies · fuel + food + transit$ shortage country get TCD > stress_index: 0.77 CRITICAL > 2 events · 2 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Chad is an oil exporter whose crude reaches the sea through a pipeline across Cameroon, the economic lifeline of one of the world's poorest countries. Landlocked and Sahelian, it imports all of its refined fuel and faces recurrent drought, conflict spillover and one of the largest refugee burdens in Africa.
Chad faces severe Sahel drought, and Lake Chad — its namesake — has shrunk to a fraction of its former size.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude · production and export pipelineOil is exported via a pipeline across Cameroon, the country's economic lifeline. | moderate | 15days | WATCH |
| Refined products · importedAll refined fuel is imported into a poor, landlocked economy. | very low | 15days | CRITICAL |
| Grain · commercial and aid stocksDrought and conflict spillover recurrently strain food supply. | low | 40days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/TCD | jq '.stress' > 0.77