Southern African grid crisis.
prob 0.53
severity 3.8 / 5 · revision 2026-05-10elevated · 10 Southern African economies · power + mining$ shortage country get SWZ > stress_index: 0.58 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Eswatini, a small landlocked kingdom, imports all of its fuel and a large share of its electricity from South Africa and Mozambique. Sugar dominates its agricultural exports. Closely tied to the South African economy, it imports a significant part of its food.
Eswatini faces recurrent severe drought that lowers its rivers and reservoirs.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported into a small landlocked kingdom. | limited | 20days | WATCH |
| Electricity · imports and domesticMost electricity is imported from South Africa and Mozambique. | balanced | — | WATCH |
| Grain · maize stocksCereal output covers part of demand; the balance is imported. | limited | 40days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/SWZ | jq '.stress' > 0.58