East African foreign-exchange and fuel squeeze.
prob 0.46
severity 3.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-06watch · 10 East African economies · fuel + FX + food$ shortage country get SOM > stress_index: 0.85 CRITICAL > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $90.79/b ▼ TTF €62.72/MWh ▲ OPEC_ORB $108.8/b ● SPR_US 304.8 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.3 ▼
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Somalia imports nearly all of its fuel and food, with a fragmented state, an al-Shabaab insurgency and recurrent extreme drought combining to produce repeated famines. Most electricity comes from small private diesel generators. The economy leans heavily on livestock exports and remittances.
Somalia has endured historic multi-season drought and famine conditions, with no permanent lakes.
No major lake or reservoir
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksNearly all fuel is imported amid conflict and a fragmented state. | very low | 10days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · private diesel generationPower comes mostly from small private diesel generators. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · humanitarian and commercial stocksRecurrent drought and conflict produce repeated famine conditions. | critically low | 25days | CRITICAL |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/SOM | jq '.stress' > 0.85