Gulf hydrocarbon export disruption.
prob 0.38
severity 4.0 / 5 · revision 2026-05-08watch · 10 Gulf and Red Sea economies · oil + LNG exports$ shortage country get OMN > stress_index: 0.36 STABLE > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $72.13/b ● TTF €44.25/MWh ● OPEC_ORB n/a SPR_US 331.2 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.8 ▼
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Oman is a crude-oil and LNG exporter whose ports on the Gulf of Oman lie outside the Strait of Hormuz, giving it a degree of export resilience. With minimal arable land it imports almost all of its cereals. Diversifying a hydrocarbon-dependent economy is its long-run challenge.
Oman has no permanent rivers or lakes and depends on desalination and aflaj channels amid extreme scarcity.
No major lake or reservoir
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude · production and exportOman exports crude from terminals on the Gulf of Oman, outside the Strait of Hormuz. | ~1 mb/d output | 40days | STABLE |
| Natural gas · production and LNGOman is a long-standing LNG exporter. | export surplus | — | STABLE |
| Grain · strategic wheat reserveWith negligible agriculture, Oman maintains a wheat reserve against near-total import reliance. | moderate | 120days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/OMN | jq '.stress' > 0.36