Maghreb energy-transition strain.
prob 0.30
severity 2.4 / 5 · revision 2026-05-04monitoring · 4 Maghreb economies · gas + renewables$ shortage country get MAR > stress_index: 0.58 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Morocco imports nearly all of its energy — crude, refined fuel and gas — and has invested heavily in solar and wind to cut that dependence. It is one of the world's largest phosphate producers, holding most global reserves. Recurrent drought weighs on its cereal harvest and deepens food-import reliance.
Morocco has endured a multi-year drought that has drawn its reservoirs to alarming lows.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · commercial inventoriesNearly all crude and product is imported; renewables are reducing the power-sector share. | ~30 days | 30days | WATCH |
| Electricity · solar, wind and importsA major solar and wind build-out is cutting import reliance for power. | expanding | — | STABLE |
| Grain · commercial and state stocksDrought repeatedly cuts the wheat harvest, lifting import needs. | moderate | 60days | WATCH |
| Phosphate · vast reservesMorocco holds the bulk of global phosphate-rock reserves, a pillar of world fertiliser supply. | world-leading | — | STABLE |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/MAR | jq '.stress' > 0.58