Levant energy-system collapse.
prob 0.54
severity 4.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-11elevated · 5 Levant economies · power + fuel$ shortage country get LBN > stress_index: 0.82 CRITICAL > 2 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $91.84/b ▲ TTF €63.73/MWh ▲ OPEC_ORB $108.8/b ● SPR_US 304.8 Mb ▼ FAO_FFPI 130.3 ▼
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Lebanon is mired in one of the world's worst modern economic collapses. The state electricity company supplies only a few hours a day, leaving households dependent on costly private diesel generators. It imports all of its fuel and the overwhelming majority of its food, with foreign exchange critically scarce.
Lebanon faces growing water stress, with drought, ageing infrastructure and economic crisis straining supply.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · commercial inventoriesFuel imports are choked by the foreign-exchange collapse; supply is chronically short. | depleted | 10days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · collapsed state gridThe public utility supplies only a few hours a day; private diesel generators fill the gap. | severely impaired | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · commercial stocksCereal supply is import-dependent and exposed to the foreign-exchange shortage. | low | 30days | CRITICAL |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/LBN | jq '.stress' > 0.82