DEMO DATA · NOT FOR CITATION
shortage.life · session_log · 2026-05-17 14:32 UTCPID 47023 · ttyS0 · uptime 312d

// node

shortage.life
v0.3 · brussels · build f3a2c81
● online · 47/47 sources · 312ms

// $_ exec

$ shortage country get KEN
> stress_index: 0.58 WATCH
> 3 events · 1 scenarios
> refreshed 2026-05-17

// readout · live

BRENT     $84.27 ▲
TTF       €31.50 ▼
OPEC_SP   3.8 mb/d ●
SPR_US    372.4 Mb
FAO_FFPI  121.4 ▲
auto-refresh 60slatency 312msbuild 0.3.0commit f3a2c81UTC 00:00:00
$_TICKER
BRENT$84.27▲0.50%WTI$80.15▲0.39%TTF€31.50▼3.67%NBP72.4p▼1.50%HH$2.84▲1.43%SPR_US372.4 Mb18.7dEU_GAS78.3%▲0.4ppOPEC_SPARE3.8 mb/d▼0.3FAO_FFPI121.4▲0.8WHT.SRW$6.42/bu▲1.84%RIC.THAI$612/t▲0.32%UREA$378/t▲2.71%LITH$13,820/t▼0.84%COBL$31,400/t—CU$9,820/t▲0.65%NI$17,420/t▼1.10%BRENT$84.27▲0.50%WTI$80.15▲0.39%TTF€31.50▼3.67%NBP72.4p▼1.50%HH$2.84▲1.43%SPR_US372.4 Mb18.7dEU_GAS78.3%▲0.4ppOPEC_SPARE3.8 mb/d▼0.3FAO_FFPI121.4▲0.8WHT.SRW$6.42/bu▲1.84%RIC.THAI$612/t▲0.32%UREA$378/t▲2.71%LITH$13,820/t▼0.84%COBL$31,400/t—CU$9,820/t▲0.65%NI$17,420/t▼1.10%
~/countries/KEN·region: East Africa·tier: monitored·methodology: v3.2cite · /api/v1/countries/KEN

Kenya / KEN

ISO KENKE│capital: Nairobi│region: East Africa│population: 55.1M
WATCH
STRESS INDEX · v3.20.58

[ 01 ]$_STRESS INDEX · v3.2 composite

COMPOSITE · 0–1 SCALE0.58

The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.

stress index · 18-month history0–1 composite

[ 02 ]$_MACRO · economy and territory

NOMINAL GDP$110 bn
GDP PER CAPITA$2,100
AREA580,367 km²
POPULATION55.1M
INFLATION · 20266%
INFLATION FORECAST · 20275.2%
CURRENCY DEPR. · 1Y6%
PUBLIC DEBT / GDP70%
UNEMPLOYMENT5.5%
ELECTRICITY ACCESS76%
electricity generation mix · %
  • Fossil10 10.0%
  • Nuclear0 0.0%
  • Renewables90 90.0%
inflation · 2022–2027%

[ 03 ]$_ENERGY PROFILE · production and consumption

OIL PRODUCTION0 mb/d
OIL CONSUMPTION0.1 mb/d
GAS PRODUCTION0 bcm
GAS CONSUMPTION0 bcm
POSTUREnet importer
IMPORT DEPENDENCY75%

[ 04 ]$_FOOD POSTURE · cereals

CEREAL SELF-SUFFICIENCY65%
POSTUREnet importer
key commodities:
oilwheattea

[ 05 ]$_RESILIENCE · oil cover

OIL STOCK COVER30days

[ 06 ]$_COUNTRY BRIEF · shortage posture

Kenya imports all of its fuel through the port of Mombasa, which also serves landlocked neighbours, but generates most of its electricity from renewables — it is a world leader in geothermal power. Recurrent drought in its arid north pressures food security and lifts cereal-import needs.

[ 07 ]$_VULNERABILITIES · pressure points

[ 08 ]$_WATER · drought & lake levels

WATER STRESShigh
DROUGHTsevere

Kenya's arid north has endured historic multi-season drought, while the Rift Valley lakes have risen anomalously.

MAJOR LAKES & RESERVOIRS
  • Lake Victoria (shared)high
  • Lake Turkanabelow normal
  • Lake Naivashahigh

[ 09 ]$_EVENTS · tagged register

3 events recorded
2026-04-05ECONFertilizer shortage threatens African plantingAFAP — African Fertilizer and Agribusiness Partnership2026-02-19ECONFuel and foreign-exchange strain grips East AfricaEast African Community2025-07-15CLIMDrought deepens across the Horn of AfricaFEWS NET

[ 10 ]$_SCENARIOS · with exposure

// EAFRICA-FX-2026

East African foreign-exchange and fuel squeeze.

prob 0.46
severity 3.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-06watch · 10 East African economies · fuel + FX + food
open scenario →

[ 11 ]$_STRATEGIC RESERVES · by stock type

STOCK TYPERESERVEDAYS COVERSTATUS
Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported via Mombasa, which also supplies landlocked neighbours.~30 days30daysWATCH
Electricity · geothermal, hydro and windKenya is a world leader in geothermal power, generating most electricity from renewables.renewable-led—STABLE
Grain · commercial stocksDrought lifts maize and wheat import needs in poor-harvest years.moderate45daysWATCH

[ 12 ]$_CORPORATE FAILURES · Q1 2026

Q1 2026 FILINGS1,100
YEAR-ON-YEAR▲ +15%
RANK · WORLD#59
AgricultureManufacturingServices
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/KEN | jq '.stress'
> 0.58
endpoint: /api/v1/countries/KEN·MCP: get-country-profile(iso=KEN)·license: CC-BY-4.0