Levant energy-system collapse.
prob 0.54
severity 4.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-11elevated · 5 Levant economies · power + fuel$ shortage country get JOR > stress_index: 0.64 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Jordan imports about 90 percent of its energy, relying on LNG, imported electricity and gas from Israel, having diversified after earlier disruptions to Egyptian supply. It is one of the world's most water-scarce countries and imports almost all of its cereals. A large refugee population adds to demand.
Jordan is among the world's most water-scarce countries, its aquifers over-pumped and the Dead Sea shrinking.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · strategic reserveAll oil is imported; Jordan holds a strategic reserve against regional disruption. | ~60 days | 60days | WATCH |
| Natural gas · LNG and pipeline importsGas is supplied through an LNG terminal and pipeline imports, including from Israel. | import-based | 25days | WATCH |
| Grain · strategic wheat reserveJordan keeps an unusually deep wheat reserve given near-total import dependence. | ~6–12 months | 240days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/JOR | jq '.stress' > 0.64