Levant energy-system collapse.
prob 0.54
severity 4.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-11elevated · 5 Levant economies · power + fuel$ shortage country get ISR > stress_index: 0.52 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Israel has become self-sufficient in natural gas and an exporter since the Leviathan and Tamar offshore fields came online, though it still imports all of its crude oil. Gas powers most of its electricity. Very low cereal self-sufficiency and acute water scarcity, managed through desalination, shape its food and resource picture.
Israel manages severe natural water scarcity through large-scale desalination; the Sea of Galilee has recovered from earlier lows.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · strategic reserveAll crude is imported; Israel holds a substantial strategic oil reserve. | ~90 days | 90days | STABLE |
| Natural gas · Leviathan and Tamar fieldsOffshore gas covers domestic power demand with a surplus for export to Egypt and Jordan. | domestic surplus | 60days | STABLE |
| Grain · government wheat reserveA government wheat reserve buffers near-total dependence on imported cereals. | moderate | 90days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/ISR | jq '.stress' > 0.52