East African foreign-exchange and fuel squeeze.
prob 0.46
severity 3.2 / 5 · revision 2026-05-06watch · 10 East African economies · fuel + FX + food$ shortage country get ERI > stress_index: 0.70 CRITICAL > 2 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
Eritrea, one of the world's most closed and isolated states, imports all of its fuel and runs a minimal grid heavily reliant on ageing diesel plants, with limited solar being added. Recurrent drought and a command economy leave much of the population food-insecure. Reliable data is scarce.
Eritrea faces severe drought and water scarcity, dependent on seasonal rivers and reservoirs.
No major lake or reservoir
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil · imported fuel stocksAll fuel is imported into a highly isolated economy. | low | 15days | CRITICAL |
| Electricity · ageing diesel and solarA minimal grid relies on ageing diesel plants, with limited solar being added. | fragile | — | CRITICAL |
| Grain · commercial and aid stocksDrought and a command economy leave much of the population food-insecure. | low | 35days | CRITICAL |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/ERI | jq '.stress' > 0.70