Central African oil-output decline.
prob 0.34
severity 2.6 / 5 · revision 2026-05-05monitoring · 7 Central African economies · oil revenue$ shortage country get COG > stress_index: 0.55 WATCH > 1 events · 1 scenarios > refreshed 2026-05-17
BRENT $84.27 ▲ TTF €31.50 ▼ OPEC_SP 3.8 mb/d ● SPR_US 372.4 Mb FAO_FFPI 121.4 ▲
The v3.2 stress index is a six-axis composite of energy and food exposure, geopolitical pressure, fiscal headroom, demography and supply concentration, normalised to a 0–1 scale.
The Republic of the Congo depends almost entirely on offshore oil exports, which dominate its economy and budget, and has begun exporting LNG. Heavy debt and maturing fields cloud the outlook. Despite vast rainforest, it imports most of its food.
The Republic of the Congo is water-rich, drained by the vast Congo River system.
| STOCK TYPE | RESERVE | DAYS COVER | STATUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crude · offshore production for exportOffshore oil dominates the economy; output faces maturing-field decline. | moderate | 25days | WATCH |
| Natural gas · LNG exportThe country has begun exporting LNG alongside its crude. | new | — | STABLE |
| Grain · commercial stocksDespite vast rainforest, the Congo imports most of its cereals. | limited | 40days | WATCH |
$ curl -s https://api.shortage.life/v1/countries/COG | jq '.stress' > 0.55